Predictive Model Projects Cervical Cancer Virtual Elimination In US Possible By 2030 In Communities With Low Poverty Rates, 2044 In Communities With High Poverty Rates

Health IT Analytics (9/13, McNemar) reported a predictive model published in Cancer Epidemiology Biomarkers & Prevention “estimated that cervical cancer could be virtually eliminated in the United States by 2030 in communities with low poverty rates, but not until 2044 in communities with high poverty rates.” With HPV vaccines about “90 percent effective at preventing HPV-related cancers, vaccination efforts could lead to ‘near-elimination’ of cervical cancer.” The article adds, “The model accounted for the risk of HPV transmission among vaccinated and unvaccinated individuals, the probability of HPV progressing to cervical cancer, the rates of cervical cancer screenings, and the likelihood of effective cancer treatment.”